Criminals are increasingly targeting U.S. Postal Service and personal mailboxes to pilfer filled-out checks and sell them over the internet using social media platforms. The buyers then alter the payee and amount listed on the checks to rob victims’ bank accounts of thousands of dollars. While the banks themselves typically bear the financial burden and reimburse targeted accounts, criminals can use the checks to steal victims’ identities, which can have severe consequences.
I founded and now direct Georgia State University’s Evidence Based Cybersecurity Research Group, which is aimed at learning what works and what doesn’t in preventing cybercrime. For the past two years, we’ve been surveilling 60 black market communication channels on the internet to learn more about the online fraud ecosystem and gather data on it in a systematic way in order to spot trends.
One thing we didn’t expect to see was a surge in purloined checks.
While there’s little historical data on this type of fraud, we do know it became particularly problematic in the 1990s as the internet made finding willing buyers of illicit items easier than ever. For example, financial institutions estimated they lost about US$1 billion to check fraud from April 1996 to September 1997.
Broadly speaking, the check scams we’ve been tracking look something like this:
Someone breaks into a mailbox that stores letters waiting to be sent and grabs some of them in hopes they’ll contain a check that’s been filled in. Often, the crime scene where the theft occurs is the victim’s own mailbox, but it can also be one of those blue USPS boxes you pass on the street.
Criminals can access those with a stolen or copied mailbox key, which we have seen on sale for as much as $1,000.
An image of USPS mailbox keys on sale. Screenshot from Telegram
Thieves may deposit or cash the checks themselves or sell them on to others via a marketplace of illicit items, such as fake IDs and credit cards. Prices are typically $175 for personal checks and $250 for business ones – payable in bitcoin – but always negotiable and cheaper in bulk, based on our observations and direct interactions with the sellers.
Buyers then use nail polish remover to erase the intended payee’s name and the amount displayed on the check, replacing those details with their own preferred payee – such as a retailer – and amount, usually a lot higher than the original check. A buyer might also simply cash the check at a location like Walmart using a fake ID.
In some cases we believe criminals are using the checks to steal the victim’s identity by using their name and address to manufacture fake driver’s licenses, passports and other legal documents. Upon taking over someone’s identity, a criminal may use it to submit false applications for loans and credit cards, access the victim’s bank accounts and engage in other types of online fraud.
Tracking black market chat rooms
To better understand how cybercriminals operate, my team of graduate students began monitoring 60 online chat room channels where we knew people were trafficking in fraudulent documents. Examples of these types of channels are group chats on messaging apps like WhatsApp, ICQ and Telegram, in which users post pictures of items they wish to sell. Some of the channels we are monitoring are public, while others required an invitation, which we managed to procure.
After stealing a check, criminals use nail polish remover to remove the pen ink used to fill them out. Criminals blacked out the check account and code numbers so they can’t be used without purchase. Names and addresses have been blacked out to protect victims’ identities. Screenshot from Telegram
After we noticed a rise in stolen checks on sale, we began systematically gathering data from those channels about six months ago in order to track the trend. We downloaded the images, coded them and then aggregated the data so we could spot trends in what was being sold.
In our observations, we came across an average of 1,325 stolen checks being sold every week in October 2021, up from 634 per week in September and 409 in August. Although little historical data on this practice exists, a one-week pilot study we conducted in October 2020 places these numbers in some perspective. Back then, we observed only 158 stolen checks during that period.
Furthermore, these figures likely only represent a small fraction of the number of checks actually being stolen and sold. We focused on only 60 markets, when in fact there are thousands currently active.
In dollar amounts, we found that the face value of the checks, as written, was $11.6 million in all of October and $10.2 million in September. But again, these values likely represent a small share of the actual amount of money being stolen from victims because criminals often rewrite the checks for much higher amounts.
Using the victims addresses, which appeared on the left top corner of the checks, and focusing on the data we collected in the month of October 2021, we found New York, Florida, Texas and California were the top sources.
Stolen personal checks typically go for $175 – but they’re cheaper purchased in bulk. Screenshot from ICQ
How to protect yourself
The best advice I can give consumers who want to avoid falling victim to these schemes is to avoid mailing checks, if you can.
Bank checking accounts usually offer customers the option to send money electronically, whether to a friend or a company, for free. And there are many apps and other services that allow you to make digital payments from bank accounts or via credit card. While there are risks with these methods as well, in general they are a lot safer than writing a check and sending it in the mail.
Still, some types of businesses may require a physical check for payment, such as landlords, utilities and insurance companies. Moreover, as a matter of personal preference, some people – myself included – prefer to pay their bills using checks rather than other methods of payment.
To avoid the risk, I make sure to drop off all my letters containing checks inside my local post office. That’s generally your best bet for keeping them out of the hands of criminals and ensuring they reach their intended destination.
As for enforcement, the inspection service works with the police and others to crack down on mail-related crime. These efforts result in the arrest of thousands of mail and packages thieves every year. However, for every arrest, there are many more criminals who go undetected.
And when we informed officials of our findings, they were also surprised by what we discovered but planned to step up monitoring of these types of black market communication channels.
Our research suggests much more systematic data on this type of fraud is needed in order to better understand how it works, crack down on the activity and prevent it from occurring in the first place.
___
David Maimon receives funding from the National Science Foundation, Minerva, Department of Homeland Security, and the Federal Reserve Bank.
Over 140,000 readers rely on The Conversation’s newsletters to understand the world.Sign up today.
___
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Universal History Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images
In 2006, Zimbabwe experienced one of the most severe cases of hyperinflation in recorded history. The economy was unstable, with many of the country’s citizens unable to provide for their families. “[There] is barely enough to feed yourself, let alone your family. It’s like we are living hand-to-mouth,” a taxi driver told the BBC at the height of Zimbabwe’s economic crisis.
However, Zimbabwe’s financial woes aren't unique to modern times. Periods of hyperinflation pepper the history of countries all over the world due to government overspending, wars, corruption, and the excessive printing of money until the paper itself is worth more than currency. This kind of economic devastation can lead to food shortages and rioting as hyperinflation can completely destabilize a nation.
For context, hyperinflation is typically considered to be a rate of 50% or more each month, which wasestablished by Phillip Cagan, an economist for America’s National Bureau of Economic Research, in 1956.
Using information from news articles as well as scientific and academic reports,Stackerpulled together 10 international instances in which countries experienced severe cases of hyperinflation that, at times, lasted for several years. Some of these countries are still feeling the impact of that economic devastation despite years, even decades, having passed.
Universal History Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images
In 2006, Zimbabwe experienced one of the most severe cases of hyperinflation in recorded history. The economy was unstable, with many of the country’s citizens unable to provide for their families. “[There] is barely enough to feed yourself, let alone your family. It’s like we are living hand-to-mouth,” a taxi driver told the BBC at the height of Zimbabwe’s economic crisis.
However, Zimbabwe’s financial woes aren't unique to modern times. Periods of hyperinflation pepper the history of countries all over the world due to government overspending, wars, corruption, and the excessive printing of money until the paper itself is worth more than currency. This kind of economic devastation can lead to food shortages and rioting as hyperinflation can completely destabilize a nation.
For context, hyperinflation is typically considered to be a rate of 50% or more each month, which wasestablished by Phillip Cagan, an economist for America’s National Bureau of Economic Research, in 1956.
Using information from news articles as well as scientific and academic reports,Stackerpulled together 10 international instances in which countries experienced severe cases of hyperinflation that, at times, lasted for several years. Some of these countries are still feeling the impact of that economic devastation despite years, even decades, having passed.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Hendrik Gerritsz Pot // Wikimedia Commons
One of the earliest examples of hyperinflation came from an unusual source: the tulip market. “Tulipmania,” as Scottish author Charles MacKay dubbed in his book "Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds,” took hold of Holland in 1634. “The rage among the Dutch to possess them was so great that the ordinary industry of the country was neglected, and the population, even to its lowest dregs, embarked in the tulip trade,” MacKay wrote.
The tulipmania trend eventually died down in 1637 when buyers couldn’t afford the high prices, according to Smithsonian Magazine. However, some modern scholars, such as Anne Goldgar, a historian and author of "Tulipmania: Money, Honor, and Knowledge in the Dutch Golden Age," believe that the impact of the tulip market may have been exaggerated.
Hendrik Gerritsz Pot // Wikimedia Commons
One of the earliest examples of hyperinflation came from an unusual source: the tulip market. “Tulipmania,” as Scottish author Charles MacKay dubbed in his book "Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds,” took hold of Holland in 1634. “The rage among the Dutch to possess them was so great that the ordinary industry of the country was neglected, and the population, even to its lowest dregs, embarked in the tulip trade,” MacKay wrote.
The tulipmania trend eventually died down in 1637 when buyers couldn’t afford the high prices, according to Smithsonian Magazine. However, some modern scholars, such as Anne Goldgar, a historian and author of "Tulipmania: Money, Honor, and Knowledge in the Dutch Golden Age," believe that the impact of the tulip market may have been exaggerated.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Leemage/Corbis via Getty Images
The people of France experienced a period of hyperinflation starting in 1795 during the French Revolution. During this time of financial hardship, from 1793 to 1795, the National Assembly, the governing body during the revolution, excessively printed assignats—France’s currency at the time—to repay debts, according to the Foundation for Economic Education.
By November 1795, 19.7 billion assignats were in circulation and the currency’s value had decreased by 99% since it was first printed. Inflation got so bad that, in August 1796, it reached a high of 304%, according to the CATO Institute. To combat the hyperinflation, the National Assembly implemented price controls and stopped printing currency in December 1795.
Leemage/Corbis via Getty Images
The people of France experienced a period of hyperinflation starting in 1795 during the French Revolution. During this time of financial hardship, from 1793 to 1795, the National Assembly, the governing body during the revolution, excessively printed assignats—France’s currency at the time—to repay debts, according to the Foundation for Economic Education.
By November 1795, 19.7 billion assignats were in circulation and the currency’s value had decreased by 99% since it was first printed. Inflation got so bad that, in August 1796, it reached a high of 304%, according to the CATO Institute. To combat the hyperinflation, the National Assembly implemented price controls and stopped printing currency in December 1795.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Albert Harlingue/Roger Viollet via Getty Images
The hyperinflation Germany experienced in the 1920s could be traced back to its loss in World War I. The Treaty of Versailles imposed a heavy burden of reparation debt after the war, leading the German government to print more and more of its currency which led to its devaluation. The country missed a payment in late 1922, and, as a result, by October 1923, the country’s monthly inflation rate reached 29,500%, according to the CATO Institute.
To put this into perspective, in January 1923, bread cost 250 marks—by the end of that year, it reached 200 million marks, according to the BBC. The economy began to stabilize after Germany replaced its currency, the papiermark, with the rentenmark.
Albert Harlingue/Roger Viollet via Getty Images
The hyperinflation Germany experienced in the 1920s could be traced back to its loss in World War I. The Treaty of Versailles imposed a heavy burden of reparation debt after the war, leading the German government to print more and more of its currency which led to its devaluation. The country missed a payment in late 1922, and, as a result, by October 1923, the country’s monthly inflation rate reached 29,500%, according to the CATO Institute.
To put this into perspective, in January 1923, bread cost 250 marks—by the end of that year, it reached 200 million marks, according to the BBC. The economy began to stabilize after Germany replaced its currency, the papiermark, with the rentenmark.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Evans/Three Lions // Getty Images
According to an academic paper published by the Cambridge University Press, Greece’s financial challenges with hyperinflation began after it was occupied by the Axis powers during World War II. Unfortunately, Greece’s hyperinflation only got worse after it was liberated, reaching a peak of 13,800% in October 1944, according to the CATO Institute. During this time, the country became encumbered with debts as trade was essentially eliminated as a result of the war.
Greece’s extreme money woes came to an end in December 1945 after the country implemented several different strategies to stabilize the country over a period of 18 months. These approaches included creating a supra central bank, foreign assistance, and overhauling the country’s currency.
Evans/Three Lions // Getty Images
According to an academic paper published by the Cambridge University Press, Greece’s financial challenges with hyperinflation began after it was occupied by the Axis powers during World War II. Unfortunately, Greece’s hyperinflation only got worse after it was liberated, reaching a peak of 13,800% in October 1944, according to the CATO Institute. During this time, the country became encumbered with debts as trade was essentially eliminated as a result of the war.
Greece’s extreme money woes came to an end in December 1945 after the country implemented several different strategies to stabilize the country over a period of 18 months. These approaches included creating a supra central bank, foreign assistance, and overhauling the country’s currency.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images
Hungary’s period of hyperinflation tops the CATO Institute’s list as the country with the worst inflation rates. In July 1946, Hungary’s hyperinflation reached heights of 13,600,000,000,000,000%, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling nearly every 16 hours. Like other countries on this list, Hungary experienced hyperinflation as a result of World War I and II.
Already in a depleted state after the first World War, World War II and the overprinting of its currency hammered at Hungary’s economy. The country began to recover after financial reforms, but not before the country was ordered to pay massive reparations to Russia as part of a peace treaty.
Hungary’s period of hyperinflation tops the CATO Institute’s list as the country with the worst inflation rates. In July 1946, Hungary’s hyperinflation reached heights of 13,600,000,000,000,000%, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling nearly every 16 hours. Like other countries on this list, Hungary experienced hyperinflation as a result of World War I and II.
Already in a depleted state after the first World War, World War II and the overprinting of its currency hammered at Hungary’s economy. The country began to recover after financial reforms, but not before the country was ordered to pay massive reparations to Russia as part of a peace treaty.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Christopher Pillitz // Getty Images
Like many countries on this list, Argentina’s hyperinflation came as a result of war debts. After the country suffered a loss in the Falklands War in 1982, by 1989, only 30,000 people out of 30 million were paying income taxes, according to Reuters.
Monthly inflation rates reached 197% by July 1989, according to the CATO Institute. This resulted in riots and looting for resources until Carlos Menem took over the country. After spending the 1990s decreasing import taxes and bringing in foreign investments, Argentina’s inflation rates finally dropped significantly.
Christopher Pillitz // Getty Images
Like many countries on this list, Argentina’s hyperinflation came as a result of war debts. After the country suffered a loss in the Falklands War in 1982, by 1989, only 30,000 people out of 30 million were paying income taxes, according to Reuters.
Monthly inflation rates reached 197% by July 1989, according to the CATO Institute. This resulted in riots and looting for resources until Carlos Menem took over the country. After spending the 1990s decreasing import taxes and bringing in foreign investments, Argentina’s inflation rates finally dropped significantly.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
Kaveh Kazemi // Getty Images
Armenia was one of several countries whose economy fell on hard times after the Soviet Union broke apart in 1991. Unfortunately, this is not where Armenia’s troubles ended. In 1988, a devastating 6.8 earthquake killed 60,000 Armenians and left thousands of people homeless, according to the BBC.
After the earthquake, government leaders decided to shut down the Armenian Nuclear Power Plant, also known as the Metsamor Nuclear Power Plant, which led to severe energy and supply shortages in the early to mid-1990s. These factors eventually led to a monthly inflation rate of 438% in November 1993, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling nearly every 13 days.
Kaveh Kazemi // Getty Images
Armenia was one of several countries whose economy fell on hard times after the Soviet Union broke apart in 1991. Unfortunately, this is not where Armenia’s troubles ended. In 1988, a devastating 6.8 earthquake killed 60,000 Armenians and left thousands of people homeless, according to the BBC.
After the earthquake, government leaders decided to shut down the Armenian Nuclear Power Plant, also known as the Metsamor Nuclear Power Plant, which led to severe energy and supply shortages in the early to mid-1990s. These factors eventually led to a monthly inflation rate of 438% in November 1993, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling nearly every 13 days.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
JEAN-PHILIPPE KSIAZEK/AFP via Getty Images
After Hungary and Zimbabwe, Yugoslavia is the third-worst recorded period of hyperinflation due to government corruption, price controls, and the Yugoslav Wars. According to the CATO Institute, more than 80% of the country’s money went toward its military and police.
By January 1994, Yugoslavia’s monthly inflation rates reached a height of 313,000,000%, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling every 1.41 days. To avoid starvation, many Yugoslavians would wait in long lines for food. In order to end the severe economic crisis, Yugoslavia completely restructured its monetary policies and currency, the dinar.
JEAN-PHILIPPE KSIAZEK/AFP via Getty Images
After Hungary and Zimbabwe, Yugoslavia is the third-worst recorded period of hyperinflation due to government corruption, price controls, and the Yugoslav Wars. According to the CATO Institute, more than 80% of the country’s money went toward its military and police.
By January 1994, Yugoslavia’s monthly inflation rates reached a height of 313,000,000%, according to the CATO Institute, with prices doubling every 1.41 days. To avoid starvation, many Yugoslavians would wait in long lines for food. In order to end the severe economic crisis, Yugoslavia completely restructured its monetary policies and currency, the dinar.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
ALEXANDER JOE/AFP via Getty Images
The history behind Zimbabwe as well as the country’s hyperinflation is complex, but, put simply, can be traced back to government policies and supply shortages. In 2006, the country printed a vast amount of its currency, the Zimbabwean dollar (ZWD), to repay its loans from the International Monetary Fund, and a second time that same year to pay its public employees. The country’s financial woes became so severe that inflation hit 79,000,000,000% in 2008, according to the CATO Institute, making it the second-worst instance of hyperinflation in recorded history.
“People are willing to lend money, but they are not willing to lend it for nothing,” a Zimbabwean lecturer told the BBC in 2006. “It's usually at a rate of 90 or 100%.” Unfortunately, while there have been some improvements, Zimbabwe’s economy continues to struggle with hyperinflation reaching 300% as recently as 2019, according to the IMF.
ALEXANDER JOE/AFP via Getty Images
The history behind Zimbabwe as well as the country’s hyperinflation is complex, but, put simply, can be traced back to government policies and supply shortages. In 2006, the country printed a vast amount of its currency, the Zimbabwean dollar (ZWD), to repay its loans from the International Monetary Fund, and a second time that same year to pay its public employees. The country’s financial woes became so severe that inflation hit 79,000,000,000% in 2008, according to the CATO Institute, making it the second-worst instance of hyperinflation in recorded history.
“People are willing to lend money, but they are not willing to lend it for nothing,” a Zimbabwean lecturer told the BBC in 2006. “It's usually at a rate of 90 or 100%.” Unfortunately, while there have been some improvements, Zimbabwe’s economy continues to struggle with hyperinflation reaching 300% as recently as 2019, according to the IMF.
How cybercriminals turn paper checks stolen from mailboxes into bitcoin
JUAN BARRETO/AFP via Getty Images
One of the most recent examples of hyperinflation, by 2020, Venezuela’s economy had diminished for the seventh year in a row,Bloomberg reported. Venezuela’s financial problemsstarted in 2013as a result of government overspending and overprinting of its currency. In 2014, inflation hit nearly 69% with food and beverages taking the largest increase in price increase, according toReuters. As a result, inflation caused prices to double about every two weeks, according to an academic study published in 2020 byThe University of Texas at Austin.
The country continues to face challenges with inflation as Venezuela’s central bank, Banco Central de Venezuela,released a statementin March 2021 that it would be releasing new 200,000, 500,000, and 1 million bills “to meet the requirements of the national economy.”
One of the most recent examples of hyperinflation, by 2020, Venezuela’s economy had diminished for the seventh year in a row,Bloomberg reported. Venezuela’s financial problemsstarted in 2013as a result of government overspending and overprinting of its currency. In 2014, inflation hit nearly 69% with food and beverages taking the largest increase in price increase, according toReuters. As a result, inflation caused prices to double about every two weeks, according to an academic study published in 2020 byThe University of Texas at Austin.
The country continues to face challenges with inflation as Venezuela’s central bank, Banco Central de Venezuela,released a statementin March 2021 that it would be releasing new 200,000, 500,000, and 1 million bills “to meet the requirements of the national economy.”